Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 4.730146 5.129227 5.561207 6.066165 6.643608 7.287413 8.065259
2025-03-30 3.994858 4.523795 5.136311 5.907969 6.868828 8.046545 9.633351
2025-04-06 3.538156 4.118753 4.821224 5.752214 6.983573 8.603445 10.983668
2025-04-13 3.215996 3.820359 4.575846 5.616749 7.060917 9.074892 12.265659
2025-04-20 2.992415 3.615291 4.415630 5.555889 7.206424 9.634820 13.771002
2025-04-27 2.880218 3.538822 4.408849 5.691887 7.634267 10.664549 16.273385
2025-05-04 2.784031 3.472191 4.404149 5.822644 8.062631 11.762632 19.221291
2025-05-11 2.655269 3.349645 4.308206 5.803786 8.246809 12.477624 21.663380
2025-05-18 2.536276 3.231435 4.207284 5.763687 8.385145 13.129158 24.200207
2025-05-25 2.393039 3.069846 4.031019 5.587823 8.267772 13.275579 25.618797
2025-06-01 2.278088 2.942181 3.896219 5.465510 8.227442 13.562561 27.505718
2025-06-08 2.207526 2.874538 3.846340 5.475619 8.423825 14.366231 31.160761
2025-06-15 2.158968 2.840777 3.852165 5.590250 8.852864 15.821229 37.869879
2025-06-22 2.051322 2.714507 3.708008 5.438901 8.755917 16.082315 40.923349
2025-06-29 1.955550 2.601318 3.577557 5.300195 8.666313 16.344700 44.245311
2025-07-06 1.871708 2.502095 3.463330 5.180266 8.598969 16.648785 48.055069
2025-07-13 1.807978 2.430587 3.389409 5.126368 8.662128 17.310114 54.205378
2025-07-20 1.783529 2.418177 3.410285 5.246734 9.115549 19.171926 69.219976
2025-07-27 1.759372 2.404724 3.428084 5.362296 9.577399 21.237884 90.296440
2025-08-03 1.712788 2.353574 3.379396 5.345640 9.730923 22.407261 108.315353
2025-08-10 1.665912 2.299951 3.323545 5.310211 9.834750 23.457406 129.177984
2025-08-17 1.601454 2.215730 3.211257 5.154646 9.624021 23.343275 137.351161
2025-08-24 1.548375 2.148186 3.125078 5.046276 9.520631 23.607003 152.197496